Trendyol Super Lig · Turkey

Fenerbahce have conceded just 2 in 4 away games, Galatasaray 5 at home: who has the edge in the derby?

Galatasaray – Fenerbahce · Kick-off: 26 October 2026 at 21:30

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Fenerbahce have conceded just 2 in 4 away games, Galatasaray 5 at home: who has the edge in the derby?

Fenerbahce have conceded only 2 in 4 away games (0.50 per game), kept a clean sheet in 3 of 4 and scored 22 in 8 league games; Galatasaray have conceded 5 in 4 home games (1.25 per game) and let in a goal in 3 of the 4. But three of Fenerbahce's last five were against Eyupspor (18th), Rizespor and Alanyaspor; the only tough opponent, Besiktas, beat them 2-1 at home. In their last six Galatasaray lost 0-4 to Trabzonspor but won the rest (Basaksehir 3-2, Kocaelispor 1-0, Genclerbirligi 1-0). On absences, only Leao is injured at Galatasaray, while Fenerbahce have Asensio, Oosterwolde, Muldur and Ake on the injury list. Galatasaray lead on 19 points, Fenerbahce are 3rd on 16. (Note: there is no Super Lig game on Sunday, so Monday's games were added.)

Over 2.5 landed in 75% of both teams' games, and even over 3.5 is 75% in Galatasaray games; so Over 2.5 is the sturdiest pick. Fenerbahce's away defence and their 75% scoring rate support Fenerbahce team goals over 0.5, and X2 can be considered for the same reason; BTTS – Yes is 50% for Galatasaray and 38% for Fenerbahce, so riskier.

Picks

  • Over/Underno odds
    Over 2.5
    Note: Odds not verified.
  • Team Goalsno odds
    Fenerbahce over 0.5
    Note: Odds not verified.
  • Double Chanceno odds
    X2
    Note: Odds not verified.

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Match Stats

 GalatasarayFenerbahce
Rank13
Points1916
Last 5W 3-2 Basaksehir, W 1-0 Kocaelispor, L 0-4 Trabzonspor, W 3-1 Kasimpasa, W 1-0 GenclerbirligiL 1-2 Besiktas, D 0-0 Gaziantep, W 8-0 Eyupspor, W 3-0 Rizespor, W 3-0 Alanyaspor
Away Away GA
0.5
Home Home GA
1.25

Pre-match News

Sources

Verification note: Numbers from soccerstats. Kick-off time and absentees from the full Ajansspor/Haberturk texts. Soccerstats Turkey: no scorers/H2H, so no player goal shares were given. Leão is injured on Ajansspor's list; the Haberturk probable-XI piece was left out.

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