Premier League · England

Still no league win at Anfield this season: is Liverpool ready for Brighton's 23 goals?

Liverpool – Brighton · Kick-off: 25 October 2026 at 17:00

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Liverpool have played 3 league games at Anfield this season and still haven't won (Forest 2-2, Fulham 0-0, City 0-3), scoring just 0.67 goals per game at home. Opposite them is the league's top scorer (23) and best defence (5 conceded): Brighton have won their last 4, kept a clean sheet in all of them and scored 10 in 3 away games. The quality of the run isn't bad either; they crushed lower-table sides Coventry (19th), Sunderland (20th) and Palace (16th), but they also beat Arsenal 3-0. Liverpool, after the 0-3 loss to City, came from behind to win 2-1 at Brentford and on Wednesday beat Villarreal 4-3 in the Champions League. The absences hurt: Szoboszlai and Frimpong (hamstring), Ekitike, Bradley and Leoni are out, Víctor Muñoz (2 of the team's 9 goals) will struggle to make it, and Isak has scored 5 of the team's 9, so the load is on him. Iraola said they will make a lot of changes this week and in the upcoming Chelsea and Arsenal games because they are playing every 3-4 days, so rotation would be no surprise. At Brighton, Minteh and Wieffer are on the verge of a return, while Struijk is uncertain.

My take: Brighton get at least a point from this one, and the double chance X2 looks reasonable to me; Liverpool haven't won a league game at home yet and failed to score in 2 of 3 there. The away win is an option for the match result, but Liverpool have that come-from-behind reflex (last game at Brentford), so I'd stay on the cautious side. On goals, Brighton scoring 10 in 3 away games and Liverpool conceding 5 in 3 home games make Brighton team goals over 1.5 a good base; BTTS is risky since Brighton have let the opponent score in only 1 away game, so BTTS – No can be considered.

Picks

  • Double Chanceno odds
    X2 (Brighton or draw)
    Note: Odds not verified; soccerstats has no odds.
  • Team Goalsno odds
    Brighton over 1.5
    Note: Odds not verified.
  • BTTSno odds
    BTTS – No (risky)
    Note: Odds not verified.

These picks are for information and entertainment only and carry no guarantee. No real money is wagered on SportsPF; the game is played with virtual points. Not for under 18s.

Match Stats

 LiverpoolBrighton
Rank53
Points1216
Last 5W 2-0 Ipswich, D 0-0 Fulham, W 1-0 Bournemouth, L 0-3 City, W 2-1 BrentfordD 1-1 Leeds, W 5-0 Coventry, W 3-0 Arsenal, W 2-0 Sunderland, W 5-0 Palace
Goals per game at home / Goals per game away0.673.33
Top scorerIsak 5/9 (56%)–
Goals for923
Goals against85
Last meeting
Brighton 2-1 Liverpool (21 Mar 26 league)

Pre-match News

Sources

Verification note: Numbers checked against soccerstats pmatch + latest.asp. Injuries/rotation: Liverpool FC & BBC. The 4-3 Villarreal game from Liverpool FC and Football365.

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Still no league win at Anfield this season: is Liverpool ready for Brighton's 23 goals? | SportsPF