Ligue 1 · France

Lille haven't lost to Monaco in 3 meetings: one of the league's two best defences visits Stade Louis II

Monaco – Lille · Kick-off: 25 October 2026 at 17:00

By: · Published: · Updated:

Lille have one of the league's best defences this season (5 conceded in 7 games), have scored in all 7, and have beaten Monaco three times in a row (1-0 in May, 1-0 in August 2025, 2-1 in February 2025). But their 3 wins in the last five all came against lower-table sides Toulouse (12th), Troyes (17th) and Le Havre (18th); against the top they drew 2-2 with PSG and lost 1-2 to Nice. Monaco score 2 per game at home over 3 games, concede 1 per game and have the league's best home defence; they beat PSG 2-1 away but last week lost 0-1 to Lorient and failed to score for the first time this season. Paris Brunner, who has scored 4 of the team's 10 goals (40%), has finished his suspension and will play; Dier (1 goal) and Idumbo (1 goal) are injured. Lille are without Ueda (2 goals) and Tiago Santos (2 goals), both injured, and Igamane; 39-year-old Giroud will start up front, while Ethan Mbappé is back from his Champions League suspension.

Both attacks are below average (1.43 goals per game for each), and over 2.5 has landed in only 29% of Lille's games and 43% of Monaco's, so Under 2.5 is the most sensible pick. Lille kept a clean sheet in 2 of 3 away games, so BTTS – No can be considered too (BTTS – Yes is only 43% in Lille games). In the end Monaco's home defence and Lille's edge in the head-to-head are balanced: rather than the double chance I'd focus on the over/under, and a draw is playable.

Picks

  • Over/Underno odds
    Under 2.5
    Note: Odds not verified.
  • BTTSno odds
    BTTS – No
    Note: Odds not verified.
  • Match Resultno odds
    Draw (low-scoring game)
    Note: Odds not verified.

These picks are for information and entertainment only and carry no guarantee. No real money is wagered on SportsPF; the game is played with virtual points. Not for under 18s.

Match Stats

 MonacoLille
Rank53
Points1414
Last 5W 2-1 PSG(away), D 1-1 Strasbourg, W 2-1 Lens, D 2-2 Toulouse, L 0-1 LorientW 1-0 Toulouse, W 2-0 Troyes, L 1-2 Nice, W 1-0 Le Havre, D 1-1 Brest
Last meeting
Monaco 0-1 Lille (10 May 26), Lille 1-0 Monaco (24 Aug 25)

Pre-match News

Sources

Verification note: Numbers from soccerstats. Brunner, Dier, Idumbo, Ueda, Santos, Igamane, Mbappé and Giroud information from search snippets (lineupstoday/La Voix du Nord/Sport.fr), pages did not fully open.

More analyses from the same day

Lille haven't lost to Monaco in 3 meetings: one of the league's two best defences visits Stade Louis II | SportsPF