LaLiga · Spain

Barcelona: 9 wins in 9 league games, 39 goals. Madrid's second-half fragility at the Clásico!

Barcelona – Real Madrid · Kick-off: 25 October 2026 at 23:00

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Barcelona have won 9 of 9, scored 39 (4.3 per game) and found 17 goals in 4 games at Camp Nou. Real Madrid have lost 2 of 4 away from home and concede 78% of their goals in the second half. Both sides are in good form but the quality of opposition differs: Barca beat Betis 5-2 away and Sevilla 3-1; Madrid's 2 defeats came against top-four sides (Betis 0-1, Atletico 1-2), and they beat Sevilla 4-1 and Villarreal 1-0. Barca are without Dani Olmo (muscle, about a month), Koundé (ankle, Flick said "we won't risk him"), Eric García, Christensen and Bardghji; but Raphinha has scored 12 of the team's 39 goals (31%) and Yamal 8, so the attack is intact. For Madrid, Vinicius is suspended (the second game of a 4-game ban), Rodrygo, Mendy and Asencio are injured; Mbappé has scored 9 of the team's 23 goals (39%) and Diomande has contributed to 6 goals in the last 4 games. The previous meeting ended 2-0 at Camp Nou on 10 May.

Barca not dropping a point in 4 home games and scoring in all 4, while Madrid have lost 2 away games, makes the home win the lead pick; I wouldn't write Madrid off completely, because 8 of Mbappé's goals came at home and only 1 away. On goals, Barca seeing over 2.5 in 8 of 9 games (89%) and Madrid in 7 (78%) makes Over 2.5 comfortable. BTTS – Yes also makes sense, because Madrid scored in 3 of 4 away games and Barca conceded in 2 of 4 at home. Barca team goals over 1.5 is the safest choice on the attacking side.

Picks

  • Match Resultno odds
    Home win (Barcelona)
    Note: Odds not verified.
  • Over/Underno odds
    Over 2.5
    Note: Odds not verified.
  • BTTSno odds
    BTTS – Yes
    Note: Odds not verified.
  • Team Goalsno odds
    Barcelona over 1.5
    Note: Odds not verified.

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Match Stats

 BarcelonaReal Madrid
Rank13
Points2721
Last 5W 4-2 Levante, W 7-2 Racing, W 3-1 Sevilla, W 3-0 Getafe, W 5-2 BetisW 3-2 Elche, L 1-2 Atletico, W 1-0 Villarreal, W 4-1 Sevilla (+L 0-1 Betis 4 Sep)
Goals per game at home / Goals per game away4.251.5
Goals for3923
Goals against99
Last meeting
Barcelona 2-0 Real Madrid (10 May 26)
Top Scorers
Raphinha 12/39 (31%), Yamal 8 (21%); Mbappé 9/23 (39%)

Pre-match News

Sources

Verification note: Numbers from soccerstats; injuries/suspensions from AS.com and ESPN.

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Barcelona: 9 wins in 9 league games, 39 goals. Madrid's second-half fragility at the Clásico! | SportsPF