Bundesliga · Germany
Kompany in hospital, Bayern in crisis mode: Freiburg scored 11 in 3 home games!
Freiburg – Bayern Munich · Kick-off: 25 October 2026 at 19:30
By: SportsPF Match Desk · Published: · Updated:

Freiburg have won all 3 home games, scoring 3.67 per game and conceding 0.67; opposite them is a Bayern without their head coach. Vincent Kompany collapsed in training on Friday and is in hospital, and Eberl said they would be talking about "weeks, not days"; assistant Aaron Danks will take charge. Bayern are unbeaten in 6 league games (22 scored, 5 conceded) but score just 1.33 per game away, and dropped points at Schalke (16th) and Augsburg (9th); Olise's 5 goals and Luis Díaz's 4 (23% and 18% of the team's 22) all came at home. The absences are many: Neuer, Díaz, Musiala, Kim and Pavlović (2 goals) are out, and Kimmich is not in the squad because of a death in his family. At Freiburg, Muslija is injured and Engelhardt (2 goals) and Lienhart are doubtful; they lost 1-2 to Leverkusen last time out. In the head-to-head, Freiburg haven't beaten Bayern in their last 14 meetings (12 defeats, 2 draws).
Bayern are struggling with this many absences, no head coach and an away trip; Freiburg went 3 for 3 at home but have never been enough against Bayern in the last 14 meetings. Since the result is hard to call, I'm looking at goals: over 2.5 landed in 83% of both teams' games (Bayern games average 4.50 total goals), and BTTS is 67% for both. The safest pick is Over 2.5, BTTS – Yes is medium; Freiburg team goals over 0.5 is worth considering because they scored in 3 of 3 at home.
Picks
- Over/Underno oddsOver 2.5Note: Odds not verified.
- BTTSno oddsBTTS – YesNote: Odds not verified.
- Team Goalsno oddsFreiburg over 0.5Note: Odds not verified.
- Match Result~7.50Home win (Freiburg) – very riskyNote: Freiburg win 7.0–8.0 (OddStorm search snippet, 25 Oct 2026), page could not be opened. Approximate.
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Match Stats
| Freiburg | Bayern Munich | |
|---|---|---|
| Rank | 3 | 2 |
| Points | 13 | 14 |
| Last 5 | W 1-0 Paderborn, W 5-0 Gladbach, D 2-2 Frankfurt, W 2-1 Schalke, L 1-2 Leverkusen | D 0-0 Schalke, W 2-1 Elversberg, W 7-0 Union, D 2-2 Augsburg, W 6-1 Leipzig |
| Goals per game at home / Goals per game away | 3.67 | 1.33 |
- Last meeting
- Freiburg 2-3 Bayern (4 Apr 26), Bayern 6-2 Freiburg (22 Nov 25)
Pre-match News
Sources
Verification note: Numbers from soccerstats; Kompany/Kimmich/Pavlović news from the full Guardian and BuLiNews texts. League positions from soccerstats (Bayern 2nd, Freiburg 3rd). 14-game H2H: from the soccerstats summary.