Bundesliga · Germany

Kompany in hospital, Bayern in crisis mode: Freiburg scored 11 in 3 home games!

Freiburg – Bayern Munich · Kick-off: 25 October 2026 at 19:30

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Kompany in hospital, Bayern in crisis mode: Freiburg scored 11 in 3 home games!

Freiburg have won all 3 home games, scoring 3.67 per game and conceding 0.67; opposite them is a Bayern without their head coach. Vincent Kompany collapsed in training on Friday and is in hospital, and Eberl said they would be talking about "weeks, not days"; assistant Aaron Danks will take charge. Bayern are unbeaten in 6 league games (22 scored, 5 conceded) but score just 1.33 per game away, and dropped points at Schalke (16th) and Augsburg (9th); Olise's 5 goals and Luis Díaz's 4 (23% and 18% of the team's 22) all came at home. The absences are many: Neuer, Díaz, Musiala, Kim and Pavlović (2 goals) are out, and Kimmich is not in the squad because of a death in his family. At Freiburg, Muslija is injured and Engelhardt (2 goals) and Lienhart are doubtful; they lost 1-2 to Leverkusen last time out. In the head-to-head, Freiburg haven't beaten Bayern in their last 14 meetings (12 defeats, 2 draws).

Bayern are struggling with this many absences, no head coach and an away trip; Freiburg went 3 for 3 at home but have never been enough against Bayern in the last 14 meetings. Since the result is hard to call, I'm looking at goals: over 2.5 landed in 83% of both teams' games (Bayern games average 4.50 total goals), and BTTS is 67% for both. The safest pick is Over 2.5, BTTS – Yes is medium; Freiburg team goals over 0.5 is worth considering because they scored in 3 of 3 at home.

Picks

  • Over/Underno odds
    Over 2.5
    Note: Odds not verified.
  • BTTSno odds
    BTTS – Yes
    Note: Odds not verified.
  • Team Goalsno odds
    Freiburg over 0.5
    Note: Odds not verified.
  • Match Result~7.50
    Home win (Freiburg) – very risky
    Note: Freiburg win 7.0–8.0 (OddStorm search snippet, 25 Oct 2026), page could not be opened. Approximate.

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Match Stats

 FreiburgBayern Munich
Rank32
Points1314
Last 5W 1-0 Paderborn, W 5-0 Gladbach, D 2-2 Frankfurt, W 2-1 Schalke, L 1-2 LeverkusenD 0-0 Schalke, W 2-1 Elversberg, W 7-0 Union, D 2-2 Augsburg, W 6-1 Leipzig
Goals per game at home / Goals per game away3.671.33
Last meeting
Freiburg 2-3 Bayern (4 Apr 26), Bayern 6-2 Freiburg (22 Nov 25)

Pre-match News

Sources

Verification note: Numbers from soccerstats; Kompany/Kimmich/Pavlović news from the full Guardian and BuLiNews texts. League positions from soccerstats (Bayern 2nd, Freiburg 3rd). 14-game H2H: from the soccerstats summary.

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