Serie A · Italy
Udinese lost 5 in a row, Milan without three key men: a whiff of an upset at the Friuli?
Udinese – AC Milan · Kick-off: 25 October 2026 at 22:45
By: SportsPF Match Desk · Published: · Updated:
Udinese have lost 5 in a row, 3 of them at home, and score only 0.50 per game at home; on top of that they come off a 0-3 defeat at Lecce (12th). Milan are unbeaten in 7 league games but finished their last 3 away games as draws (Juventus 1-1, Lazio 2-2, Sassuolo 1-1); at home they beat Atalanta 3-2. The real issue is Milan's absences: Rabiot (4 of the team's 14 goals, 29%), Moreira (3 goals, 21%) and Gila are out of the squad; Gabbia, Saelemaekers and Chukwueze are injured too, and Milan were heavily beaten by Bournemouth in the Europa League on Wednesday, with a Bologna game and the derby on 31 October to come, so rotation is inevitable. Udinese are without Alaba, Bayo and Gueye, Solet's status is uncertain; Zaniolo is back from injury but will start on the bench. Udinese's attacking load is on Ekkelenkamp (3 of the team's 9 goals, 33%).
Milan's absences are big, but Udinese have not won in 4 home games (1 draw, 3 defeats) and concede every game, which makes the double chance X2 the most sensible option for me; Milan being unbeaten in 4 away games (1 win, 3 draws) supports this too. The away win is possible but there are 3 away draws. On goals, the two teams average 3.29 total goals and both have BTTS in 71% of their games; BTTS – Yes and Milan team goals over 0.5 look safe.
Picks
- Double Chanceno oddsX2 (Milan or draw)Note: Odds not verified.
- BTTSno oddsBTTS – YesNote: Odds not verified.
- Team Goalsno oddsMilan over 0.5Note: Odds not verified.
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Match Stats
| Udinese | AC Milan | |
|---|---|---|
| Rank | 16 | 5 |
| Points | 4 | 15 |
| Last 5 | L 3-5 Inter, L 0-1 Cagliari, L 1-2 Torino, L 0-3 Lecce (+L 1-2 Lazio) | D 1-1 Juventus, D 2-2 Lazio, W 3-0 Lecce, D 1-1 Sassuolo, W 3-2 Atalanta |
| Goals per game at home / Goals per game away | 0.5 | 1.5 |
| Top scorer | Ekkelenkamp 3/9 (33%) | Rabiot 4/14 (29%) - injured |
- Both teams to score rate
- 71%
Pre-match News
Sources
Verification note: Numbers from soccerstats; injuries/rotation from Sky Sport, Sempremilan, Sports Mole. "2-2 with Lazio" from soccerstats; the Bournemouth defeat from Sempremilan/Sky ("Europa League, heavy defeat").